Why Osborne is wrong on the Robin Hood Tax
This article originally appeared on the New Statesman website.
George Osborne ripped back his well maintained veneer of ambivalence towards the Robin Hood Tax this week, revealing his true identity as the protector of the privileged few in City.
Having been given the advice of the IMF, Bill Gates and the European Commission who have all shown Financial Transaction Taxes (FTTs) are feasible, Osborne chose to ignore them, declaring instead it would be "economic suicide". But while his attempt to frame the debate as an EU attack on British prosperity may have superficial appeal - John Major has made a similar attack, claiming in The Guardian that an FTT would fan the flames of Euroscepticism - it does not stand-up to economic scrutiny.
Let's start with the growth argument. Earlier this year, Osborne increased VAT (the transactions tax we all pay in the real economy) by 2.5 per cent to 20 per cent. VAT increases push up prices and are certainly not good for growth and they hit the poorest twice as hard as the rich. Yet now Osborne is casting a 0.05 per cent tax on the financial transactions of investment banks and hedge funds as bad for growth. The irony is of course, that as the IMF pointed out, financial transactions are VAT exempt.
The fact that a Robin Hood Tax would raise billions to protect jobs, services and the poorest was handily ignored. So too was the fact it would rein in rogue elements of the financial sector responsible for a crisis that will, according to the Bank of England, ultimately cost the UK at least £1.8 trillion and as much as £7.4 trillion in lost GDP. The biggest threat to our long term growth is surely an unrestrained financial sector and not a 0.05 per cent tax on their transactions. Any job losses are likely to occur in the exclusive corners of the investment banks a million miles away from high street banking.
Osborne's claim that not a single bank would pay this tax is plain wrong. The bit he did get right is that banks as intermediaries would not pay the tax, but the parties initiating the trades would. So who are initiating the trades? Er, it's the banks. And other financial institutions such as hedge funds who represent high net worth individuals and the richest segments of society. It's why the IMF has said an FTT would in all likelihood be "highly progressive": being paid by those most able to afford it.
More surprising than Osborne's offensive has been Vince Cable's amazing transformation. Cable himself has on a number of occasions supported the Robin Hood Tax, it's even in the Liberal Democrat manifesto. Until Wednesday that is, when he described it as a "tax on Britain", seemingly conflating the financial sector with the UK as a whole.
Worse still, Cable resorted to citing the infamous Swedish FTT from the 1980s. Focusing on this example, unique in its bad design, whilst omitting to mention the Stamp Duty on UK shares which successfully raises the Exchequer more than £3 billion a year, is disingenuous at best. It's a bit like showing us a picture of a square-wheeled bike as evidence that all bicycles are flawed, having just arrived by bike. The key to the Stamp Duty's success is the way it is levied; wherever in the world a UK share is traded - London, New York or the Cayman Islands - the tax still has to be paid.
Osborne and Cable were right about one thing however; no one wants all this money to disappear into the European coffers. A Robin Hood Tax has received such massive support -- from the UK public (who back it by two to one), the Archbishop of Canterbury, the Vatican and millions around the world -- not just because it would curtail casino capitalism but also because it would help tackle poverty and climate change at home and abroad.
Thankfully, the threat of co-option into a "Brussels tax" is overblown. As the Germans recently pointed out, each country would collect the tax nationally. Our campaign wants to see half the money spent helping poor countries and half (that's billions of pounds) spent protecting schools and hospitals, teachers and nurses at home. So, far from the size of the UK's financial sector meaning we have the most to lose from an FTT, we have the most to gain.
By ignoring the positives and exaggerating the negatives the government is compiling themselves a dodgy dossier of reasons not to back the Robin Hood Tax. In doing so they risk putting themselves at odds with public opinion and international momentum behind ensuring the financial sector pays its fair share.
Simon Chouffot is a spokesperson for the Robin Hood Tax campaign.
Original article:
http://www.newstatesman.com/blogs/the-staggers/2011/11/tax-financial-osborne-robin
Comments
#1 This tax wouldn't solve the issue.
This just isn't true I'm afraid.
You can't extrapolate the FTT to show how many transactions you'll tax based on today's figures and then say it will generate X billion in revenue. A huge percentage of the transactions on the markets are done by algorithms, transacting at very high speed. These companies make their money by identifying market inefficiencies. They do not penalise the everyday investor, quite the opposite in fact. It is essential to remember, that every transaction made on the markets is made at the best price the market has to offer. A competitive, liquid market is highly conducive to lower selling/buying costs (the more you buy, the higher price you pay), which actually benefits the pension funds. Removing these liquidity providers will not only reduce the revenues from this tax significantly, it will also harm the institutional investors significantly.
The one area I vehemently disagree with you on, is that this will deter casino capitalism. It really really won't. Casino capitalism comes about when people, for whatever reason, decide to place huge sums of money on speculative market positions, and collect a % of the profits if it works, and lose nothing (other than their jobs for a few months) if it fails. They will not care in the slightest about an FTT, because a small % of profit lost is not a factor they will take into consideration. This will in fact encourage casino capitalism, because you make it harder and less rewarding for those that take the lower risk/lower reward scenarios. It's almost akin to a VAT on transactions (which in this case, the lower risk seekers (pension funds) are hit hardest. If they are unable to derive a return in low risk scenarios they have no choice to either leave the markets or seek higher risk.
To protect the economy from another 2008, there needs to be a way of allowing too big to fail institutions to fail, and to break the collusion that exists between ratings agencies, banks and bank clients (selling incorrectly rated assets). The banks create the instruments, the ratings agencies price them and the banks sell them to their clients. He who pays the piper calls the tune.
I do not disagree that a select few decision makers in banks and other institutions are wreaking havoc for the majority, and that needs to be addressed. I am a supporter of using taxation to pay for clean up costs (like when a travel agent goes bust), but I do not believe this specific tax will prevent any of the issues it has been created to address.
For the record, all financial high fliers that have supported this have nothing to lose. Warren Buffet et. al do not buy the shares they buy on the open market (owing to the nature of the size of transactions). If someone were to propose a tax to help the needy that I didn't have to pay for, then I'd agree to it too, especially as its an easy PR stunt. It's harder to stand up and say why not to do the popular choice.
P.S. Please stop throwing money at the 3rd world, it doesnt pay for food or schools, it saves the governments in those countries from paying for that and can afford more Mercedes and AK's instead. Throwing money at a problem doesnt solve it, ask any rich parent.
#2 The Financial Transaction Tax
The Financial Transaction Tax rate is set extremely low (an average rate of just 0.05%) precisely to avoid having an impact on institutions or individuals that carry out very few transactions, such as pensions and savings. Such a rate would hit high frequency casino trading which is a completely distinct area of banking.
Many economists support the FTT because they believe that it will curb speculative trading. But the main reason behind the Robin Hood Tax campaign is to raise revenue to help those worst affected by the financial crisis. Research carried out by the Institute for Public Policy Research shows that Robin Hood Taxes could raise £20bn a year in the UK alone. https://www.ippr.org.uk/ipprnorth/publicationsandreports/publication.asp?id=756
Other measures such as separating casino and retail banking may prevent future crises, but they won’t help pay back society for the damage caused by the 2008 crash. More info on what the money could be used for here: http://robinhoodtax.org/why-we-need-robin
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